Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.067311 0.075858 0.084614 0.094225 0.104448 0.114970 0.126590
2025-06-22 0.052990 0.065693 0.079391 0.095117 0.112534 0.131111 0.152301
2025-06-29 0.046345 0.061891 0.079315 0.099966 0.123474 0.149132 0.178993
2025-07-06 0.039121 0.056193 0.076042 0.100259 0.128492 0.159911 0.197085
2025-07-13 0.037341 0.056514 0.079389 0.107847 0.141543 0.179511 0.224898
2025-07-20 0.030899 0.050338 0.074365 0.105038 0.142093 0.184500 0.235845
2025-07-27 0.028667 0.049257 0.075350 0.109250 0.150750 0.198729 0.257292
2025-08-03 0.025375 0.046404 0.073822 0.110145 0.155256 0.207973 0.272872
2025-08-10 0.022399 0.043664 0.072193 0.110708 0.159194 0.216428 0.287441
2025-08-17 0.019237 0.040316 0.069502 0.109703 0.161036 0.222253 0.298815
2025-08-24 0.015394 0.035495 0.064470 0.105377 0.158502 0.222624 0.303556
2025-08-31 0.012858 0.032387 0.061568 0.103645 0.159065 0.226619 0.312516
2025-09-07 0.011384 0.031034 0.061324 0.105777 0.165006 0.237776 0.330852
2025-09-14 0.009643 0.029015 0.060020 0.106465 0.169164 0.246885 0.346946
2025-09-21 0.009136 0.029170 0.061945 0.111612 0.179151 0.263278 0.371973
2025-09-28 0.007653 0.027221 0.060492 0.111921 0.182714 0.271610 0.387141
2025-10-05 0.007880 0.028731 0.064492 0.120006 0.196625 0.293002 0.418410
2025-10-12 0.006028 0.025576 0.060861 0.117015 0.195674 0.295579 0.426476
2025-10-19 0.005664 0.025622 0.062400 0.121500 0.204759 0.310892 0.450311
2025-10-26 0.004791 0.024305 0.061577 0.122452 0.209028 0.320054 0.466520
2025-11-02 0.003980 0.022942 0.060564 0.123051 0.212767 0.328511 0.481844
2025-11-09 0.003082 0.021069 0.058515 0.121982 0.214140 0.333875 0.493270
2025-11-16 0.001996 0.018134 0.054285 0.117376 0.210453 0.332563 0.496213